SwiftAlerts Research

Notes from the AI capital cycle

Institutional-grade equity research on AI infrastructure, power, and the capital cycle. Synthesized from the same data pipeline that feeds the MCP endpoint.

Transcript Digest Autonomy & Mobility June 25, 2026

Uber and the Autonomous Opportunity

Uber doesn't intend to win autonomy. It intends to own the demand and operations layer autonomy plugs into. A digest of what management actually said about robotaxis across two earnings calls.

Market Structure Options & AV Hardware June 25, 2026

The Cadence Trade: Where the AV Stack Is Mispricing Its Own Convexity

A long-dated options map of autonomous-vehicle hardware shows the market charging the most for the layer facing the biggest binary, the least for the layer that cannot lose the race, and hedging none of it.

Market Structure AI Infrastructure June 20, 2026

Neoclouds are not one trade. They are three, wearing one name.

The market buckets the neoclouds as a single AI-infrastructure theme. The tape says they are three different bets wearing one name. A cluster map of CRWV, NBIS, and the miner-pivot pack against the AI megacaps.

Equity Research Power & Nuclear June 20, 2026

The Smart Money Is Quietly Fading the SMR Trade

Four independent skeptics, one stretched valuation, and a retail crowd buying the opposite. The gap between the crowd and the careful money is the story.

AI Research Markets June 20, 2026

The Cadence Trade

Two AI labs crossed a threshold where their own products materially shorten their own development cycle. This is what offline recursive self-improvement looks like at the lab level — and what trades it implies.

Analysis Methodology June 20, 2026

Plotting AI model release cadence: two labs are accelerating, three aren't

A chart of cumulative frontier model releases per lab, with explicit methodology. Anthropic and OpenAI show accelerating cadence; Google, Meta, and DeepSeek don't.